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Frozen pre-match forecast · #16594

Valenii de Munte VS Tricolorul Breaza

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:19 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
75.00%
Draw
25.00%
Away
0.00%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1250
Log loss
0.2877

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:19 UTC
SHA-256
4c91491674708420a030d72947a53f4975435ceb7cfd330f96ca2619e50d2649

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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