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Frozen pre-match forecast · #165593

Transvaal VS PVV

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.07%
Draw
25.61%
Away
26.33%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4046
Log loss
0.7326

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
19 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
e288a6845b32876b8c2483b5938474187611bfdd72421d01898d9f9030adcc9d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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