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Frozen pre-match forecast · #165325

Turnišče VS Dob

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
17.43%
Draw
18.56%
Away
64.01%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.1944
Log loss
0.4461

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
19 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
e95144a842f2ae8f26c44464e7df279d9ed7ac8fd00ba0365f32c3574076afe6

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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