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Frozen pre-match forecast · #16523

Grobničan Čavle VS Koprivnica

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:18 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.43%
Draw
33.23%
Away
32.34%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6450
Log loss
1.0662

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:18 UTC
SHA-256
c6c583ad3e2164dcd808de9917cc808d1a355a3c109bfa73d956af7c381a21bd

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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