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Frozen pre-match forecast · #16479

Bzenec VS Strání

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:17 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
16.88%
Draw
27.32%
Away
55.80%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 690-minute result
Brier score
0.2985
Log loss
0.5834

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:17 UTC
SHA-256
000a822670cbee91701bf31561dba588a1a6e60062b4825b78d2f335b02a6d6d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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