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Frozen pre-match forecast · #164633

Unirea Braniştea VS Gloria Băneasa

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
75.56%
Draw
14.92%
Away
9.52%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.0911
Log loss
0.2802

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
19 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
7de3d0ab10ffb03be89d807a564543df72bf8b303de6344bea2c1fd73250eefc

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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