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Frozen pre-match forecast · #164584

VIFK W VS PK-35 Vantaa W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
7.94%
Draw
12.03%
Away
80.02%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.5024
Log loss
2.5332

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
19 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
497511bd1944a424bfb2706ff06afa9f6f452c110102aff274b0fcb5baa2eba4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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