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Frozen pre-match forecast · #164582

Sutjeska Foča VS FK Romanija Pale

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
56.79%
Draw
23.82%
Away
19.39%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
1.0290
Log loss
1.6404

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
19 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
5f9fb72c3588a06d756dd4c1d5e2aa1509d012e213e972cc63054c406169d2f7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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