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Frozen pre-match forecast · #164402

Charlton VS Norwich

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 11:30 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
31.67%
Draw
26.85%
Away
41.48%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
19 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
5a886bf0a507ec3a71b509162bd1265548ff9269f2bcce796345b28087a03647

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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