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Frozen pre-match forecast · #164372

Villa Santa Brígida VS Los Llanos

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.82%
Draw
26.72%
Away
24.46%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3932
Log loss
0.7170

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
19 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
a81a0d9f3fb567217237c2e3bd882e2545dfa9b509b6d088c796c9be07153684

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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