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Frozen pre-match forecast · #164189

Slovan Liberec II VS Horní Ředice

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 08:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
57.15%
Draw
21.10%
Away
21.75%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2754
Log loss
0.5595

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
19 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
74142d04c4bb0a1f000e4727e16193a757e1a205477c9600b40e839d0ce964d3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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