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Frozen pre-match forecast · #163925

Hvězda Cheb VS Karlovy Vary

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
18.91%
Draw
17.69%
Away
63.39%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.2010
Log loss
0.4558

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
19 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
f28ed3bf27e64906cecd59039f05f326cf2cf8f4494ca82cf5e5a948014cdc8f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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