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Frozen pre-match forecast · #16358

Igman Konjic VS Vitez

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
44.51%
Draw
32.35%
Away
23.14%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4661
Log loss
0.8095

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
311e7c4636fd1cf2f07e7c73d7b76c181e58c205c9bf1233a39ed987007654a1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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