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Frozen pre-match forecast · #163507

Masr VS Future FC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
40.20%
Draw
30.36%
Away
29.44%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5364
Log loss
0.9113

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
19 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
29e9a065dec1f865914f0d1c4cd175a228352fe44982c815b4aeae86ce5dc0ec

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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