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Frozen pre-match forecast · #16346

Nové Sady VS Prostejov B

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
11.63%
Draw
26.58%
Away
61.79%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9344
Log loss
1.3250

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
3bd1f9ae714c2c2e60f0cbe14d1d721f4c92697482d51e2443012cb39e351032

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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