Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #16341

Vítkovice VS Líšeň II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
31.64%
Draw
33.73%
Away
34.63%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6592
Log loss
1.0868

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
d2cf900c1791c40da00aa4bf9ddea81fa93505c6cf6e037e0afce62488669cb0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →