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Frozen pre-match forecast · #163395

Depor FC VS Quindio

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Oct 2026 · 20:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
27.59%
Draw
28.84%
Away
43.57%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4777
Log loss
0.8308

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
19 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
7284ae93dc82e5e521f994c245740c926e7ad7a893e547e7ddc23aba3b3c1127

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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