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Frozen pre-match forecast · #163297

Sogdiana VS Andijan

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
53.17%
Draw
22.03%
Away
24.81%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8966
Log loss
1.3940

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
19 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
83e5615ae8614538bcef3b73f430dcbce94b58ef9343d0fb2e1bac698d1b48b3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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