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Frozen pre-match forecast · #163296

Olmaliq VS PFK Guliston

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
80.52%
Draw
12.86%
Away
6.62%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.0589
Log loss
0.2167

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
19 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
8cc1891359d2af64b6c5ddab83275552c80154ae27434a70424168b7c3425f55

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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