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Frozen pre-match forecast · #163231

Giugliano VS Foggia

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 18:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.08%
Draw
27.36%
Away
40.56%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7007
Log loss
1.1369

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
19 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
f3d20ffc6833694859e4e79f2f6510048b87c42194ea58504d5b71043eb237f6

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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