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Frozen pre-match forecast · #16322

Námestovo VS Čadca

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.18%
Draw
33.29%
Away
27.53%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6743
Log loss
1.0999

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
7b3d73dea1f6c3593979f2430ec83b508359dc02bc9bf8e91c1187b698f80793

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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