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Frozen pre-match forecast · #163186

Damac VS Al Taee

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 15:20 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
54.14%
Draw
23.90%
Away
21.96%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3157
Log loss
0.6136

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
19 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
f2f26be1ac98594f05a0a778ad88033c5b554dbe5b1be93c78c6d996896d1e8c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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