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Frozen pre-match forecast · #16314

Nieciecza VS Odra Opole

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
46.81%
Draw
28.70%
Away
24.49%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4253
Log loss
0.7591

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
92a71f251c563ff8dba54996a68f7a8317307006d766b37053123c898474fd5f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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