Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #163108

FC Voluntari VS FCSB

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
19.32%
Draw
21.78%
Away
58.91%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.2536
Log loss
0.5293

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
19 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
a4f29354e9455fe97a5971fc25069f7b755a53d117afb0cc694541d81cc2ca13

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →