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Frozen pre-match forecast · #163096

Belshina VS Slavia Mozyr

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.16%
Draw
27.31%
Away
43.53%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.4785
Log loss
0.8317

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
19 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
bf6b41d8977747a100ebc9457adb3d40f1b424c18b3d795199fa1e42b26e76e0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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