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Frozen pre-match forecast · #16305

PKKU VS Rops

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
27.74%
Draw
36.60%
Away
35.66%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7833
Log loss
1.2823

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
84eeaa7fa30bceae91c0e7e0fb50fb20ff75c7be002ba8da9938981b1458bc9f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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