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Frozen pre-match forecast · #162917

Kalaâ Sport VS Moknine

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 04:02 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
52.40%
Draw
27.00%
Away
20.60%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3419
Log loss
0.6463

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
19 Oct 2026 · 04:02 UTC
SHA-256
1b4e2b5c3f8829dd31a7255041fdf5e88498a7655d6b412c6576ddd7212bda59

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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