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Frozen pre-match forecast · #162899

Comunicaciones VS Mixco

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 02:02 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 02:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
51.35%
Draw
24.17%
Away
24.48%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3550
Log loss
0.6665

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
19 Oct 2026 · 02:02 UTC
SHA-256
ed9ac6df1d573e663e6176b0c6572c38cdcaf4417efae94a0f97f157610b5597

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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