Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #162898

Los Angeles FC VS Minnesota United FC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 02:02 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 01:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
53.75%
Draw
23.37%
Away
22.88%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.9383
Log loss
1.4749

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
19 Oct 2026 · 02:02 UTC
SHA-256
b99061e6320269fb8b52c48c83f47d141fff3dff68db1475c6c5cc06ec8aeabe

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →