Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #162868

Coronie Boys VS Leo Victor

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 22:02 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 22:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
17.76%
Draw
22.40%
Away
59.84%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.2430
Log loss
0.5135

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 22:02 UTC
SHA-256
dedd3727e205ac8f0cebc574ac7869a2f8844923e24aaf282f9d70d742c226c1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →