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Frozen pre-match forecast · #162851

Racing de Veracruz 2 VS Heroes de Zaci 2

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 22:01 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 21:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
71.02%
Draw
17.85%
Away
11.13%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1282
Log loss
0.3422

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 22:01 UTC
SHA-256
a6c1aeedb5f76316b5cd5f653e692897fa468c06f1e31f780104b590b607a5f6

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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