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Frozen pre-match forecast · #162817

Deportivo San Pedro VS Municipal

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 22:01 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.08%
Draw
28.78%
Away
36.14%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6349
Log loss
1.0475

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 22:01 UTC
SHA-256
bc8deeb1ca54a5c3d50388c60df50b33ae5c60038f6b09b684551f8484c63347

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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