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Frozen pre-match forecast · #16279

Slovan Liberec W VS Viktoria Plzeň W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.24%
Draw
32.47%
Away
29.29%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5727
Log loss
0.9613

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
54e1aafe0c4c618074b75dd00e714065c31849bb50e19ab2c4a5f8663a83d239

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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