Frozen pre-match forecast · #162782
Palmeiras VS Vasco DA Gama
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 18 Oct 2026 · 20:01 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 01 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 46.21%
- Draw
- 28.64%
- Away
- 25.15%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.4346
- Log loss
- 0.7720
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 18 Oct 2026 · 20:01 UTC
- SHA-256
- c1ca0f8e5742bbe153592d73fb6f18da13d2305026de8fa39dac2e63e7b70969
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.