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Frozen pre-match forecast · #162776

Hound Dogs VS Lincoln Red Imps FC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 20:01 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 18:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
1.25%
Draw
5.33%
Away
93.42%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 590-minute result
Brier score
0.0073
Log loss
0.0681

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 20:01 UTC
SHA-256
7cd80544f81bdd6b08c8d127aa3263a5705b40c0c4becfa285ba593d3c132d60

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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