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Frozen pre-match forecast · #162750

Academico Viseu VS Rio Ave

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 18:02 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
41.12%
Draw
27.68%
Away
31.20%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5206
Log loss
0.8887

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 18:02 UTC
SHA-256
d902da8de83e3a011913c9bc3b308f2c6b85a0d2d80d26dc5e5907d5ab8e277b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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