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Frozen pre-match forecast · #16267

Mantova U19 VS Cremonese U19

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
25.79%
Draw
37.57%
Away
36.64%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8261
Log loss
1.3552

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
1937fa4ca0a31b93d924def32af0c8932716939e8ca9cf37c5b72f83a030e6ba

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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