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Frozen pre-match forecast · #162657

Terrassa VS Reddis

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 18:02 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.58%
Draw
29.25%
Away
31.16%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5477
Log loss
0.9267

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 18:02 UTC
SHA-256
3c6c66e0bfc23ff3edb151b691d7f78a235ff04021fbdd4bb37a925046d7f434

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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