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Frozen pre-match forecast · #162623

Eintracht Frankfurt VS Hamburger SV

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 18:01 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 16:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
57.27%
Draw
21.60%
Away
21.13%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2739
Log loss
0.5574

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 18:01 UTC
SHA-256
19311b764c87f72101f4de92ec4bea13df82ace8d2727db83f9535f2a9d54e95

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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