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Frozen pre-match forecast · #162441

Al Saqer VS Al Taee

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 16:02 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
55.68%
Draw
23.37%
Away
20.95%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9411
Log loss
1.4537

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 16:02 UTC
SHA-256
9f2a8c031e54d75c8cb3b06ee788cb5e6512c6f5f393f3d6f3ca5a2cb5e54d85

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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