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Frozen pre-match forecast · #162402

Hajer VS Al Ula

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 16:01 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 14:40 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
13.72%
Draw
20.83%
Away
65.45%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 16:01 UTC
SHA-256
cd23e91b2afe30022f421e4e303b8f2c12a770d25a96b8e8f0ffcdc3f55c0cdb

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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