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Frozen pre-match forecast · #16239

Eger VS Mátészalka

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.92%
Draw
33.95%
Away
28.14%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 390-minute result
Brier score
0.7754
Log loss
1.2681

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
b6ea1b973cf16857f2f6a18b2d6129748fd9c92d2eb6fbc92762b74beeceba8b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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