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Frozen pre-match forecast · #162380

Lyn VS Raufoss

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 16:01 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
63.19%
Draw
19.01%
Away
17.80%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2033
Log loss
0.4590

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 16:01 UTC
SHA-256
76f9c97b0f9acdadd93fa06b5f454d35bd54810babb10c33e663140fcf6d4e1a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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