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Frozen pre-match forecast · #162332

Brighton W VS Crystal Palace W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 14:03 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
56.01%
Draw
22.62%
Away
21.37%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 14:03 UTC
SHA-256
5a76d33bd8c720e0b7952ffe92625f27dd39ebf6ae7ba211d53dfe9196416e73

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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