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Frozen pre-match forecast · #162299

Eddersheim VS Baunatal

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 14:03 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
60.71%
Draw
19.64%
Away
19.64%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.0530
Log loss
1.6275

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 14:03 UTC
SHA-256
81e07e24bf613cd0679a0ea708425f4ea208ad94bb3a20ff6b4fe1a235ad36c6

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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