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Frozen pre-match forecast · #162295

Eendracht Termien VS Racing Mechelen

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 14:03 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
40.83%
Draw
22.12%
Away
37.05%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5363
Log loss
0.8958

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 14:03 UTC
SHA-256
6779950194ee2f68e557a29e03cbb465b9e14bac141d7995489d8d2e31f58b05

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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