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Frozen pre-match forecast · #162292

Albinoleffe U20 VS Parma U20

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 14:02 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
8.13%
Draw
14.05%
Away
77.82%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.0755
Log loss
0.2508

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 14:02 UTC
SHA-256
24fde654c40fa93a8d30f37a3f4756badb732617419b4ba7f8cdbaed46c3458e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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