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Frozen pre-match forecast · #162269

Uppsala W VS Hammarby W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 14:02 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
0.39%
Draw
2.04%
Away
97.57%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 790-minute result
Brier score
0.0010
Log loss
0.0246

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 14:02 UTC
SHA-256
bce08db152495b647d459c8f2fcf69da68767cfab0a846a01636647f78c2ed46

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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