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Frozen pre-match forecast · #162206

Legnago Salus VS Conegliano

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 14:02 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
54.19%
Draw
25.49%
Away
20.33%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8901
Log loss
1.3670

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 14:02 UTC
SHA-256
2b1e5f33f264e69ac48bfc264609b1bee356e428126071f45145b68fa4644bb7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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