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Frozen pre-match forecast · #162202

Pavonese VS Pro Palazzolo

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 14:02 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.27%
Draw
27.72%
Away
42.01%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 14:02 UTC
SHA-256
7f3a317b1dec44a8fa4f577dc719e221b2c83c5d4f01603d08f0007f12b15f2f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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